September 6, 2002
The Bully's Pulpit
By PAUL KRUGMAN
ar is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength. Colin Powell and
Dick Cheney are in perfect agreement. And the Bush administration won't privatize
Social Security.
Ari Fleischer's insistence that Mr. Powell and Mr. Cheney have no differences
over Iraq seems to have pushed some journalists into facing up, at least
briefly, to the obvious. ABC's weblog The Note described it as a "chocolate-is-vanilla"
claim, admitting that "The Bush team has always had a credibility problem
with some reporters because of their insistence on saying 'up is down' and
'black is white.' "
But the administration needn't worry; if history is any guide, many reporters
will soon return to their usual cringe. The next time the administration
insists that chocolate is vanilla, much of the media — fearing accusations
of liberal bias, trying to create the appearance of "balance" — won't report
that the stuff is actually brown; at best they'll report that some Democrats
claim that it's brown.
The Bush team's Orwellian propensities have long been apparent to anyone
following its pronouncements on economics. Even during campaign 2000 these
pronouncements relied on doublethink, the ability to believe two contradictory
things at the same time. For example, George W. Bush's plan to partially privatize
Social Security always depended on the assertion that 2-1=4 — that we can
divert payroll taxes into high-yielding personal accounts, yet still use
the same money to pay benefits to retirees.
The Orwellian tactics don't stop with doublethink; they also include newspeak,
the redefinition of words to rule out disloyal thoughts. Again, Social Security
is a perfect example. Republican political consultants have found that in
an era of plunging stocks and corporate scandal the word "privatization"
has taken on negative connotations. The answer? Deny that personal accounts
constitute privatization, and bully the press into going along. A Republican
National Campaign Committee memo lays out the new strategy: "It is very important
that we not allow reporters to shill for Democrat demagoguery by inaccurately
characterizing 'personal accounts' and 'privatization' as one and the same."
Is it inaccurate to say that personal accounts equal privatization? We could
argue on the merits. Under the Bush plan, a worker's personal account reflects
any gains or losses on the stocks it represents. When risks and rewards accrue
entirely to the individual, isn't that privatization?
But wait, we can do better. The push to convert Social Security into a system
of personal accounts has been led by the Cato Institute. The Bush plan emerged
directly from Cato's project on the subject,
several members of Mr. Bush's commission on Social Security reform had close
Cato ties, and much of the commission's staff came straight from Cato. You
can read all about Cato's role on the special Web site the institute set
up, socialsecurity.org.
And what's the name of the Cato project to promote personal accounts? Why,
the Project on Social Security Privatization, of course.
Which brings us back to the issue of intimidation. The R.N.C.C. doesn't
really think it can convince people that privatization isn't privatization.
But that's not the goal. The memo doesn't talk about how to communicate with
the public; it's a list of demands to place on journalists. As Joshua Marshall
put it at talkingpointsmemo.com, the goal is to "mau-mau reporters out of
using the word 'privatization' in this context."
And the intimidation will probably succeed. Indeed, it's already working.
As Mr. Marshall notes, in a recent interview of the House minority leader,
Richard Gephardt, Judy Woodruff of CNN duly echoed the R.N.C.C.'s memo.
Unfortunately, this isn't just a question of Social Security policy.
Once an administration believes that it can get away with insisting that black
is white and up is down — and everything in this administration's history
suggests that it believes just that — it's hard to see where the process stops.
A habit of ignoring inconvenient reality, and presuming that the docile media
will go along, soon infects all aspects of policy. And yes, that includes
matters of war and peace.
The trouble is that eventually reality has a way of asserting itself.
And in case you are wondering, ignorance isn't strength.
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