October 25, 2002
Dead Parrot Society
By PAUL
KRUGMAN
few days ago The Washington Post'sDana Milbank wrote an article explaining
that for George W. Bush, "facts are malleable." Documenting "dubious, if
not wrong" statements on a variety of subjects, from Iraq's military capability
to the federal budget, the White House correspondent declared that Mr. Bush's
"rhetoric has taken some flights of fancy."
Also in the last few days, The Wall Street Journal reported that "senior
officials have referred repeatedly to intelligence . . . that remains largely
unverified." The C.I.A.'s former head of counterterrorism was blunter: "Basically,
cooked information is working its way into high-level pronouncements." USA
Today reports that "pressure has been building on the intelligence agencies
to deliberately slant estimates to fit a political agenda."
Reading all these euphemisms, I was reminded of Monty Python's parrot: he's
pushing up the daisies, his metabolic processes are history, he's joined
the choir invisible. That is, he's dead. And the Bush administration lies
a lot.
Let me hasten to say that I don't blame reporters for not quite putting
it that way. Mr. Milbank is a brave man, and is paying the usual price for
his courage: he is now the target of a White House smear campaign.
That standard response may help you understand how Mr. Bush retains a public
image as a plain-spoken man, when in fact he is as slippery and evasive as
any politician in memory. Did you notice his recent declaration that allowing
Saddam Hussein to remain in power wouldn't mean backing down on "regime change,"
because if the Iraqi despot meets U.N. conditions, "that itself will signal
that the regime has changed"?
The recent spate of articles about administration dishonesty mainly reflects
the campaign to sell war with Iraq. But the habit itself goes all the way
back to the 2000 campaign, and is manifest on a wide range of issues. High
points would include the plan for partial privatization of Social Security,
with its 2-1=4 arithmetic; the claim that a tax cut that delivers 40 percent
or more of its benefits to the richest 1 percent was aimed at the middle
class; the claim that there were 60 lines of stem cells available for research;
the promise to include limits on carbon dioxide in an environmental plan.
More generally, Mr. Bush ran as a moderate, a "uniter, not a divider." The
Economist endorsed him back in 2000 because it saw him as the candidate better
able to transcend partisanship; now the magazine describes him as the "partisan-in-chief."
It's tempting to view all of this merely as a question of character, but
it's more than that. There's method in this administration's mendacity.
For the Bush administration is an extremely elitist clique trying to maintain
a populist facade. Its domestic policies are designed to benefit a very small
number of people — basically those who earn at least $300,000 a year, and
really don't care about either the environment or their less fortunate compatriots.
True, this base is augmented by some powerful special-interest groups, notably
the Christian right and the gun lobby. But while this coalition can raise
vast sums, and can mobilize operatives to stage bourgeois riots when needed,
the policies themselves are inherently unpopular. Hence the need to reshape
those malleable facts.
What remains puzzling is the long-term strategy. Despite Mr. Bush's control
of the bully pulpit, he has had little success in changing the public's fundamental
views. Before Sept. 11 the nation was growing increasingly dismayed over
the administration's hard right turn. Terrorism brought Mr. Bush immense
personal popularity, as the public rallied around the flag; but the helium
has been steadily leaking out of that balloon.
Right now the administration is playing the war card, inventing facts as necessary,
and trying to use the remnants of Mr. Bush's post-Sept. 11 popularity to
gain control of all three branches of government. But then what? There is,
after all, no indication that Mr. Bush ever intends to move to the center.
So the administration's inner circle must think that full control of the
government can be used to lock in a permanent political advantage, even though
the more the public learns about their policies, the less it likes them.
The big question is whether the press, which is beginning to find its voice,
will lose it again in the face of one-party government.
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